Hatcher’s Opinion

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    The Ides of Germanwings: One Year Later

    There is a time to go about our daily business. There is a time to set everything else aside, and just remember. Now it is time to remember.

    Dusseldorf airport set aside a room for German family members of the 72 Germans who lost their lives on Flight 9525.

    Today in Barcelona, flags were at half-mast and 149 candles lit as people gathered at Barcelona Airport to recall the victims of the crash of Germanwings Flight 9525. On 24 March 2015, one year ago as of tomorrow, Flight 9525 was en route from Barcelona to Dusseldorf when it crashed in the French Alps, killing 144 passengers, two pilots, and four cabin crew. The tragedy was engineered by suicidal co-pilot Andreas Lubitz. Family members gathered here, as well as emergency workers and officials.

    There were fifty-one Spanish lost in the crash. Four countries (including the US) lost three victims; seven countries lost two victims, and five countries lost one. I hope that all the families, where ever they live, found comfort somewhere.

    On Thursday, the victims’ names will be read and remembered; flowers will be left at the Le Vernet cemetery which houses the accident’s unidentified remains. Six hundred Flight 9525 victim’s friends and family will have a commemoration ceremony in Le Vernet village in the French Alps not far from the crash site. Weather prevents a visit to the crash site.

    I was in Le Vernet last July when 149 balloons were released. I can’t help but feel that I should be there again to support the families. I have just returned from Barcelona, and barely unpacked my bags. I can only hope that the year of mourning and grieving has been cathartic, and that the families are finding a way to embrace life again.

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    Open Secret

    I want to discuss an open secret. Every citizen of every country knows this secret; every family member knows, from the poorest to the richest and everyone between—That nothing in this world is going to bring back a loved one who has died. To the families who lose loved ones in a crash like Bhoja Air Flight 213, that loved one is priceless. To the community, that citizen is irreplaceable. I mean this literally and exactly—that person is gone and can never be replaced. Simple fact. Each person who lives and breathes is a walking compilation of time and coincidence that came together to make one unique person. Priceless. We know this because we are human beings. Our minds understand this because it is logical. Our hearts understand this without words. It doesn’t require an explanation, but I am going on and on about it because, apparently this is something that government does not know.

    The nightmare has just begun for the families of Bhoja Air Flight 213. I have to make the explanation, because the families of those who died in the Air Blue crash have been given a dollar figure. A judge who misread an international treaty (that doesn’t even apply to the case) set a cap of $57,000. Never mind that the government of Pakistan says it is not a cap. Never mind that the rest of the world looks at that number in disbelief. It hangs there like a guillotine, like a road block, like a dead end to the futures of all those families who have already lost more than can be repaid.

    It has been pointed out to me that where the Air Blue Crash Report was concerned, “it was the first time that an air crash report findings were published. Such accidents in the past were shrouded in secrecy.” So perhaps I should soften my judgment because transparency in government is not an easy thing. Pakistan should be commended for making its first baby steps toward transparency. Transparency promotes accountability. So congratulations on beginning. Perhaps the first baby steps toward open government, transparency and accountability can be painful, but with each step, more is learned. Perhaps the biggest lesson that can be learned is that failure is the opportunity for growth.

    The Air Blue Flight 202 investigation was mishandled. More on that in a moment. I hope that the Pakistani investigating body that will be given the task of conducting this investigation on Bhoja Air Flight 213 will do a better job than they did in the Air Blue crash. It has been nearly two years (July 28) since Air Blue went down and investigators can’t manage to get their act together enough to write a final report that that’s credible as to what occurred in that crash.

    Don’t let it happen with Bhoja Air Flight 213. Don’t draw your conclusions so quickly. Conclusions must be based on evidence. Today I picked up an article in the news media quoting an official who said the weather caused the Bhoja crash. Okay so maybe the weather did cause it?but maybe not. It wasn’t a new plane. It was the first time that route was flown, and a relatively new airline. Was their training up to par? I expect tabloid journalism from tabloids, but how can an official conclude so quickly? That’s being stupid, but this is not stupid country. Look at their economics, and you can see they are a vital country with a growing economy.

    But they should be ashamed of how they conduct law that has anything to do with the value of life. A credible investigation of the carrier and the culpable parties will uncover truth. A good investigation always does. We are already asking ourselves if the insurance companies and the lawyers, and the lawgivers believe that the people aboard Bhoja Air Flight 213 will also have a bargain basement value. Is the value of human life, of a human being, of the human soul set at $57,000? It is abhorrent, disgusting, soulless to appraise a life at $57,000. It doesn’t matter if the person was 100 years old—that life has more value than $57,000 to the family. When there is a domestic flight outside of an international treaty, why isn’t there a compensation plan that is reasonable and accepted by the aviation community?

    $57,000 is the figure the operator has authorized their attorneys to settle Air Blue cases for.

    This is all the more tragic because the accidents would/could/should all be preventable.

    I hope that the leasing companies and the banking companies get their act together and start being more careful about who they lease their airplanes to. In my opinion, what they do is they find out if the company is credit worthy. If the operator is credit worthy, then they give them the plane.

    What if banks and lenders raised the bar? That’s a big IF. You see, the lender is in position of strength. What would happen to aviation if the lender were to look beyond whether an airline company and operator is creditworthy? As it stands now, they could care less about whether or not the operator trains their pilots correctly, whether they can fly a Boeing or Airbus, whether the pilots had more than two hours of sleep in the last twenty-four hours, whether the crew knows how to cooperate with each other, whether or not the passengers are safe setting foot on that plane. It doesn’t make any difference to the banks and lenders, as long as somebody is making their monthly payments, and as long as there is insurance on the aircraft.

    But the leasing companies and the banks have so much control. What would happen to aviation safety in developing countries if the lender were to look beyond whether an airline company and operator is creditworthy? They could do so much to clean up the state of aviation safety in countries that they are having so many crashes—they could save lives and change the world—if the lender drew a line in the sand, a line of control that set a higher standard than financial responsibility. What if the lender said you’re not getting the money for this plane unless you demonstrate to me that your pilots have had proper training, that your planes will have proper maintenance, that appropriate guidelines will be followed? If the lender is monitoring that airline and finds for example, that pilots aren’t being trained or that the planes are not being properly maintained, shouldn’t the lender repossess the plane—just as a lender can repossess a car if the insurance lapses? The leasing company (or the company from whom the airline is buying the plane) should have in their lease agreement or sale contract an ongoing control for the operator to demonstrate proper training for pilots, proper maintenance (etc.) and if the operator fails to uphold standards, the legal owner (bank/lender) can act to repossess their plane.

    Should I mention that the fact that if the banks do not do so, it is negligent? Not only in the legal sense?I’m not a lawyer. It is negligent in the sense that supervision of a banker’s investment is the banker’s/investor’s responsibility. Shouldn’t the lender be held accountable? Should they be able to pawn off barely airworthy planes to airlines that can barely manage them, knowing the planes will be flown till their wings fall off, and the worst that will happen will be a bargain basement slap on the hand for the 152 fatalities of Air Blue or the 127-130 fatalities of Bhoja Air? Is this a secret, second tier cottage industry we’ve bumped into? If so, someone should shine a hard light at the business practices. But there is in fact a legal doctrine of negligent entrustment, in which one of two things must be proved: that the leasing company has possession of the plane, or control. And we believe that, because the plane can be repossessed for breaches of contract (failure of payment, failure to maintain insurance), that demonstrates that the lender has control. This makes them a responsible party, and legally liable. In support of this control, the lender/bank needs to better monitor the ongoing conditions concerning the plane. Because the bank has control—the power to repossess an airplane for financial default—it is the responsibility of the lender to maintain monitoring. And f the lenders find out that the pilots aren’t being trained correctly, that operations are substandard, that unsafe methods are practiced? They have the control to demand immediate rectification or the plane will be repossessed. They have the responsibility of keeping tabs of public information, and to monitor internal performance from the airlines. It is their responsibility to monitor these weapons of destruction that they’re putting out into the sky under the control of anybody with a fat wallet.

    We don’t know what happened to the Bhoja Air plane. We don’t know. All I am saying is we hope they do a better job in investigating this thing . Don’t drag it out for two years and come out with a chicken shit investigation that nobody believes, that isn’t even credible.

    But what can we expect? They don’t check anything. They don’t collect the wreckage. They don’t do anything that other countries do. There is a protocol to be followed after a crash and this one is already busted. Was it immediately cordoned off? I think not. Look on you-tube and you can see half a dozen videos of everybody in town tromping through the evidence.

    It’s like a math test, where you have to show every step of all your work. Follow the formula that works. Follow the protocol for investigation.

    Pakistan should wake up and look around. It is 2012. There aren’t any excuses. They are a real country. They should follow the guidelines of what is proper, not only for the sake of the company that is going to suffer a loss, but also for the sake of all those souls that were lost.

    So Pakistan, here’s the secret. Life cannot be replaced. It has an intrinsic value beyond currency. Value it.

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    Air blue Crash Heirs Case Hits Immobile Object

    If you’re wondering about the Airblue 202 case, it has run into the politics of Pakistan. The situation has been piled high with difficulty. Even though I am an optimist and see opportunity in every difficulty, even though I have a great team of attorneys in Pakistan, and a great team here in the states coordinating on this case, there comes a time when we must realize where we stand. Despite our efforts, with the present laws and political situation, helping the families is like patching shattered glass with paste. It has been a very difficult to make things stick. Or to change metaphors, it has been an uphill climb.

    The Flight: 28 July 2010, Airbus A321, Air Blue Fight 202, en route from Karachi to Islamabad

    146 passengers and 6 crew members flew into a mountain near the airport. Witnesses wondered why it seemed as if “the plane had lost balance, and then we saw it going down.”

    Why it was flying so low? Why did it strike the mountain? Audio and a report were released that seemed to answer those question—lack of coordination in the flight crew.

    Our study of the audio indicates the pilots are served tea early on, then…

    • Confusion ensues in the cockpit, caused by some unknown reason.
    • Wrong settings introduced into the settings that were already abnormal.
    • A tower operator who had gone for coffee was complacent.
    • Aircraft flew lower than normal.
    • Abnormal personality traits/interaction reflecting mistakes in the cockpit.
    • Weather and apprehension and strange out of norm complacency by the FO when he realizes they are going to die

    When the audio was released and studied, it became clear there was no teamwork between the pilot Perve Iqbal Chaudhary and the first officer Muntajib Ahmed.

    The pilot had 35 years and more than 25,000 hours of flying experience but made inexplicable mistakes and demeaned the co-pilot. The first officer was aware of the danger and tried to amend the situation but he had been so disheartened beforehand by sharp questions putting the first officer “in his place.”

    He was unaccountably meek for a former F-16 Pakistan Air Force fighter pilot. The pilot did not properly respond to Air Traffic Control directives and automated cabin warning systems and flew the plane into a mountain. Air Traffic Control responses were less than professional. The first officer appeared helpless and ineffective.

    On January 17,2013, two and a half years after the accident, the Peshawar High Court closed proceedings for the Airblue compensation case.

    Counsel was directed to withdraw the client’s petition from the Islamabad High Court or the the Peshawar High Court. The client refused to do so on the basis that the cases were different. The court closed the case because the heirs of the victims had had filed an independent lawsuit at Islamabad High Court.

    We believed the Airblue compensation case had merit. The pilot committed the error. The first officer was ineffective. They were Airblue employees.

    Yes, there was pilot error, but the airline is doubly responsible, because the flight crew did not have adequate CRM training. (COCKPIT Resource Management/Crew Resource Management) Absolutely what happened in the case was the result of the airline failing to establish a working protocol.

    It’s like children at school practicing a fire drill so they know what to do when a crisis occurs. Fire drills save lives. They prevent missteps in the face of danger. They give the people in trouble a set of directions to follow that will get them out of the jam they are in. A drill answers questions ahead of time, so precious time is not wasted figuring out what to do. Without the drill, what happens when disaster strikes? Chaos. Loss of life.

    I feel bad for the people. First they lose their families. Then they don’t get all the compensation available to them.

    Take a look at the safety recommendations from the report (pasted below).

    See how 3.1-3.5 and 3.7 all duplicate the same working environment issue? Investigators recognize the troubled working environment. Today’s flight crews are taught CRM which means they have safe practices in place in case the captain is incapacitated and starts to fly into mountains like the captain of Air Blue 202.

    But realistically, will recommendations change AirBlue? Will Air Blue be able to implement non-traditional interpersonal relations on the job? And if they can not, how will they ever fly safely with a first officer culturally unable to do his job?

    The first officer was ineffective in securing the plane; and sadly, the court appears to be equally as ineffective in getting justice for some of the heirs of the victims.

    Re: Investigation Report -AB-202 CHAPTER – 13 :

    SAFETY RECOMMENDATIONS

    13.1 All aircrew be re-briefed on CFIT avoidance and Circling Approach procedures
    and a strict implementation of this procedure be ensured through an intensive
    monitoring system.

    13.2 Aircrew scheduling and pairing being a critical subject be preferably handled /
    supervised by Flight Operations.

    13.3 The implementation of an effective CRM program be ensured and the syllabus of
    CRM training be reviewed in line with international standards.

    13.4 Existing aircrew training methodology be catered for standardization and
    harmonization of procedures.

    13.5 Human factor / personality profiling program for aircrew be introduced to predict
    their behaviour under crises.

    13.6 Instrument landing procedure for RWY-12 be established, if possible.

    13.7 Safety Management System be implemented in ATS as per the spirit of the ICAO
    document (doc. 4444).

    13.8 New Islamabad International Airport (NIIA) be completed and made functional on
    priority

    13.9 Visual augment system (Approach Radar Scope) be installed in control tower to
    monitor the positions and progress of aircraft flying in the circuit.

    13.10 Review of the existing Regulations for the compensation and their expeditious
    award to the legal heirs of the victims be ensured.

    13.11 Adequacy of SIB resources comprising qualified human resource and equipment
    be reviewed.

    13.12 Information to public on the progress of the investigation process through the
    media by trained / qualified investigators of SIB be ensured on regular intervals.

    13.13 NDMA be tasked to acquire in-country airlift capability for removal of wreckage
    from difficult terrain like Margalla etc. As an interim arrangement, some foreign
    sources be earmarked for making such an arrangements on as and when
    required basis.

    13.14 Civil Police Department be tasked to work out and ensure effective cordoning and
    onsite security arrangements of crashed aircraft wreckage at all the places
    specially remote / difficult hilly locations.

    13.15 Environment Control Department be directed to recover the ill effects of
    deterioration / damages caused to Marghalla hill due to the crash.

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  • Continental Ships Minors to Wrong Destination. 2x

    George’s Point of View

    Oops. And Oops again.

    Taylor Williams of College Station got on a plane to go to Charlotte North Carolina. Only the plane ended up in Fayetteville, Ark., instead of Charlotte, N.C. She got to see a little more of the country than she’d bargained for. But then they figured out the mistake and sent her to Houston, and then to Charlotte, where she finally ended up with her father who was no doubt going crazy with worry.

    Did I mention she is eight years old?

    Then there’s Miriam Kamens. Miriam took off from Logan Airport in Boston to go to Cleveland to visit her grandparents. But SHE ended up in Newark NJ. And Miriam isn’t 8. She’s 10.

    Apparently Continental Airlines has a little problem getting unaccompanied minors to their exact destinations.

    There was a time when children flying alone on a plane had to do something really embarrassing, like wear a notebook sized placard around their neck with their destination written on it.

    Maybe they should start doing that again. On the other hand…there’s no actual proof that airline staff can actually read.

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    AirBlue in Defiance of Court

    Although the court has ordered compensation, a spokesman of victims told the Peshawar High Court that “AirBlue has communicated to petitioners that compensation will be given to them once they step down and cases are withdrawn from court.” AirBlue also asked for a “universal relief agreement” release form for the 152 companies potentially responsible banning victims from suing.

    The chief justice advised the victims rep to file an application of contempt of court, and promised to continue the case until every heir is compensated.

    In George’s Point of View


    AirBlue should be taking the high road on this, and stop dragging their feet. The tragedy brought to a halt the lives of too many, robbed families of their futures. How can any of these families affected ever have any peace? Why—after already causing the ultimate harm to the victims, and the families of victims—must the airline do everything in their power to make the situation even worse?

    From the moment we are infants who learn to trust our feet to carry us, standing at the sides of our cribs, toddling across our parent’s floors into schools, and adulthood and life beyond, we are only able to stand on our own feet, to walk on our own feet, to negotiate the ground beneath us because we learn a sense of control. We know where the ground is, which way is up. We learn where we can place our feet just so, how to move, to balance, and how to negotiate the rules and laws and physics of the real world so that we can take the next step in our lives, and the next, and the next. All of this occurs because we learn to trust our environment, to trust ourselves in it.

    A tragic event like a plane crash turns our perceptions, our world, our lives inside out. It turns the ground to the ceiling. Our perception of reality is instantly distorted, turning peace and family into an ongoing horror. How can we take the next step when the ground beneath us has been stolen away?

    A tragedy like this shocks everyone–not just the families, but everyone who learns of the event–we are all left with the sense of being a boat unmoored, with the knowledge of a loss of control of the setting and circumstance of our lives. Everyone who learns of a crash like that of Air Blue faces a realization of the frailty of life. The word “shock” is appropriate, for the sensation is not unlike a zap of electricity that sizzles our nerve endings. For those of us who did not lose anyone, we may have an instant jolt, an instant awareness an instant empathy of the depth of grief, horror, pain suffered by survivors; but for survivors that jolt is no instant. It stretches on indefinitely into a future rendered bleak and dead.

    Healing may come; a sense of life may return, or even a sense of carpe diem. But even with healing, there is a loss of innocence, a loss of trust in life, in belief of “the future” because, after all, how grim the future is without our loved ones in it.

    For the families, reparation can never be made. How can they truly be “repaired” if the loved ones they lost can never be returned? The sense of the wholeness of their lives is forever a shattered glass. It is the responsibility for Jet Blue (and even for any of the 152 companies who are indeed partially responsible) to deliver promise instead of excuse, blessing instead of denial, empowerment instead of refusal, expedition instead of delay.

    There is a lot of guilt and responsibility sitting squarely in the lap of Air Blue.

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    Let’s Look at Some Airbus Stats, Shall we?

    On Flight 447. pilots contended with escalating failures in their flight control system while alarms were going off and no natural horizon was visible to orient or fly by; and they were completely dependent on electronic instrumentation that were providing faulty data.

    What went wrong?

    George’s Point of View

    5,717 aircraft have been manufactured by Airbus.
    5,100 are in use.
    23 have been involved in fatal crashes
    2,584 people have been killed by Airbuses.
    5 additional accidents have caused 21 injuries.
    Three Airbus crashes involved a separation of the composite vertical stabilizer from the fuselage.
    Airbus composite stabilizers, rudders and couplers have also been involved in additional accidents and incidents.
    25% of new Airbuses are made of composite material, including the plastic vertical stabilizer over 78 feet long
    There have been 10 recorded incidents when A300 tail fins were stressed beyond their capacity.

    Many pilots refuse to fly the Airbus. Maybe they have the right idea.

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