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    As famílias da TAM, três anos depois.

    As famílias da TAM, três anos depois.

    Às famílias que agora rememoram a tragédia com o voo JJ 3054 da TAM Linhas Aéreas – o Airbus A320 que se chocou ao pousar em uma noite chuvosa, em uma pista com problemas de pavimentação, em 17 de julho de 2007…

    Às famílias, muitas das quais são amigas minhas…

    Este mês de julho não pode passar sem que relembremos. Assim como cada primavera faz lembrar o inverno, e cada noite faz lembrar o dia, em17 de julho, nós lembramos.

    Espero que, a essa altura, vocês tenham criado algum tipo de tradição que ajude a família a se reunir e lembrar.

    É um privilégio recordar toda a virtude de suas vidas – quer visitando seu túmulo, acendendo uma vela, plantando uma árvore ou realizando atos de bondade em sua memória.

    Vela alguma brilha o suficiente ou por tempo o bastante; arvore alguma se ergue suficientemente alta ou dá sombra o bastante; nenhum ato de caridade é suficientemente generoso. Mas, ainda assim, fazer algo a cada ano que nos ajude a realmente lembrá-los traz em si um ato de vida. Fazê-lo traz a chama da lembrança, entrelaçando o ontem ao presente e ao amanhã.

    Um ritual que, a princípio, pode funcionar como uma muleta emocional, mas tarde dá asas à nossa alma. Um ritual que nos faz lembrar que cada vida é como uma pedra em um monumento, um alicerce que sustenta a todos nós que seguimos em frente.

    Que a perda não seja em vão.

    Lágrimas não nos podem devolver o ser amado, mas espero que o tempo tenha trazido cura e alívio para a dor, deixando apenas a ternura da lembrança.

    Amigos e amigas, celebrem a memória.

    George Hatcher

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    Ethiopia Flight 409: The Questions Keep Coming


    Click to view full size photo at Airliners.net
    Contact photographer Alastair T. Gardiner

    Newspaper reports talk about traces of black soot on the Auxiliary Power Unit. The APU is like your computer backup—similar in theory to the battery backup you may have at home hooked to your computer.

    The APU is an auxiliary engine that provided electric power and air to the Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 737 until the main engines began to run.

    We ourselves haven’t seen soot, or proof of fire–but we haven’t seen much proof at all, since the report that we keep hearing whispers of has not been made public.

    Some facts are known We know, for example, that…

    —…the APU is located in the rudder section.

    —…the weather was bad.
    OLBA 250300Z 06004KT 030V090 5000 VCTS RA FEW020CB BKN026 10/06 Q1014 NOSIG

    We have heard rumors which may or may not be unfounded:
    —Statements made anonymously by Lebanese airport sources report that Captain Habtamu Benti, the pilot in command (PIC) of the Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 737-800 encountered engine problems, perhaps a flame out, during takeoff, and requested permission to abort the flight and return to Beirut. He was given clearance to do so, but another aircraft, a Etihad Airlines flight from Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates was in the process of landing and could have interfered with his emergency maneuvers. *

    But some information has been made public.

    —The rudder found at the plane’s tail was reported to have been sent to France. *

    —“One of the five cockpit voice recorders which has a damaged segment will be sent from France’s BEA to a Seattle-based company [Honeywell] to recover that lost segment.” *

    So we have even more questions. Where, for example, are the statements of the witnesses? What has France said about the rudder? Has the APU been found, and if so, what is its condition?

    Even if ATC sent pilot in to a storm, the pilot also has radar and should have seen the storm and refused the order to take off and/or the heading issued to him. Did his radar fail? Did the APU fail? It might well be that the pilot was misled by a radar system in the plane that was not operating correctly. Unlikely, but, possible. There are still a lot of possibilities we can not rule out. The captain had too many hours logged to take off in to a storm with a plane that he knew was not built to withstand the forces of a cell ahead of him.

    Even if there is no immediate report available yet, we look forward to the promised release in March/July. (They say that data collection will continue until March 15 2011, in April the data will be verified/validated by Ethiopian and Lebanese authorities, officials of Boeing and the US National Transport Safety Board by May 30th, with a tentative public release date in July.) When more official information is released, it will help to rule out all gross speculation, so we can focus on possible culpable parties in the chain of events that caused this tragedy.

    We shall see.


    What: Ethiopian Airlines Boeing 737 en route from Beirut to Addis Ababa
    Where: 2 miles west of the coastal village of Na’ameh.
    When: Jan 25 2010
    Who: 7 crew 83 passengers
    Why: Shortly after taking off in stormy weather and heavy lightning, Lebanese ATC lost contact. The plane disappeared from radar 45 minutes after leaving Beirut. Witnesses on the coast saw the plane as it crashed into the sea. So far 9 bodies have been found by members of the Lebanese army .
    Update
    Initial reports of 7 survivors, became 9 bodies, and now the count has reached 21 bodies.

    The site of the crash is 2 miles west of the coastal village of Na’ameh.

    Fifty-four passengers were Lebanese, 22 Ethiopian, two were British and there were also Canadian, Russian, French, Iraqi and Syrian nationals.

    A Cypriot police helicopter has joined the Lebanese army in the search for survivors, and two U.N. helicopters are on the scene.

    Ethiopian Airlines is state owned, and has a standing order of 10 of Boeing’s Next-Generation 737-800s

    ET-409 Incident – 25 January, 2010

    Ethiopian flight ET-409 was scheduled to operate from Beirut to Addis Ababa on January 25th lost contact with the Lebanese air controllers shortly after take off. The flight departed at 02:35 Lebanese time from Beirut International Airport.

    Flight ET-409 carried 82 passenger plus 8 Ethiopian Crew members. Out of the total passengers 23 were Ethiopian, 51 Lebanese, 1 Turkish, 1 French, 2 British, 1 Russian, 1 Canadian, 1 Syrian, 1 Iraqi nationals.


    Strobe flashes

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  • Caution: Volcano Crossing

    George’s Point of View

    A disaster not in California…

    From June 12 to June 15, the Sarychev Peak on the Russian Kuril Islands erupted, causing air traffic disruptions between Northern American and Japan. The ash clouds are reaching “estimated heights of 45,000 feet.” (Danger zone for aviation from from E152 to W155 over a distance of 2000nm and N40 to N48).

    The dust clouds are drifting east and dispersing.

    Alaska Volcano Observatory

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    TAM to delay expansion plans due to Brazil’s civil aviation chaos

    TAM Linhas Aereas has postponed plans to increase its fleet of Airbus jets from 2008 to 2011 allegedly because of a drop in demand for domestic air travel.

    It will cut demand for narrow-body Airbus jets by five planes a year. Previous plans included 103 narrow-body jets in 2008, 106 in 2009, 112 in 2010 and 115 in 2011.

    Brazil’s Aviation Industry has been in crisis for the past year due to overcrowding, air traffic controller strikes and massive delays, not to mention suffering from the consequences of the Sao Paolo air crash. A TAM Airbus 320 crashed at Sao Paulo’s Congonhas airport in July, killing 199 people. This crash at Brazil’s busiest domestic airport led the government to review use of the airport.

    It currently flies to Paris, London and Milan in Europe and New York and Miami. TAM plans to leave international flights unchanged. It plans to start flights to Frankfurt from November 30 and to start daily flights to Madrid by December. TAM said it is sticking to its forecast of a 10 to 15% rise in domestic demand in 2007.

    TAM has orders for 51 narrow-bodied Airbus jets, which include the A319, A320 and A321, and orders for 10 A330 planes through 2011. It had ordered four additional Boeing 777-300ER planes worth 1 billion US dollars. Boeing said TAM was the first Latin American airline to add the long-range jetliner to its fleet.

    The new planes will help the company save fuel and increase its presence in the international market. It is set to receive its first of the planes in June 2008.

    The competition, GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes, has a reduced fleet plan this year.

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    Stuttgart: Fokker Foam Landing Update


    Click to view full size photo at Airliners.net
    Contact Photographer Bernd Sturm

    What: ContactAir Fokker 100/Lufthansa en route from from Berlin Tegel to Stuttgart
    Where: Stuttgart
    When: Sep 14th 2009
    Who: 73 passengers including Franz Muentefering and 5 crew (6 injury/issues)
    Why:
    Update:
    According to news releases quoting Lufthansa, the Stuttgart emergency landing on Sept. 14 was “probably caused by a valve part that came loose and blocked the landing gear’s hydraulic system.”
    “Part of a valve came loose internally and blocked a hydraulic line…It worked like a stopper.”

    George’s Point of View

    Maintenance, maintenance, maintenance. It’s a 14 year old plane. Should I repeat “maintenance” 14 times? It’s not as if the plane were self-aware and could tighten or replace its own valves.

    The plane’s last inspection was in August, prior to Contact Air acquiring the plane. Even if Contact Air is not legally required to perform a post-purchase inspection, it seems like it would be a reasonable thing for a new owner to do.

    If this were a used car purchase, would we take it for an inspection with our own mechanics, and to get tags?

    See archives:

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  • MH370: Two Years after

    search
    Time passes. Shakespeare said “Better three hours too soon than a minute too late.”

    As of today, the mystery of MH370 has gone unsolved for two years.

    Better that the tower in Malaysia had been proactive and caught that there was something going on before it flew off course;

    Better if maintenance had found the issue, if issue there was;

    Better if safety checks had caught an issue, if issue there was;

    We don’t have a clue what issue there was.

    Hundreds of theories have been developed and discarded. Millions in funds have been spent on the search. Every penny could have been saved if something had been caught in a timely fashion; but whatever it was that we missed, we don’t even know, and won’t know, until the wreckage is found and studied.

    The terrible irony with an accident like this one is that more money has been spent on looking for the wreckage than the families will ever receive. And no matter how much compensation there would be, it could never be enough.

    Good things may happen as a result of a search, but it is difficult to define them. For example, look at the search for Air France 447 which sparked a rethinking of the black box. After that crash, battery parameters (for pinging) were a result. If only the battery could last as long as the boxes that protect the data from the weight of the ocean.

    MH370 went so far afield, following the pinging of the battery never even came into play.

    In the search for a lost plane, improvements are small and out of proportion to the loss. At times, it feels the tools we are working with are like spoons where a forklift is needed. The steps we have taken feel like inches in a journey of infinite miles. And that is what we face here. Until the wreckage is found, the journey is infinite. And I believe one day the wreckage will be found. I hope it will be in time to do some good; and that something will be learned from it to prevent similar accidents from happening again.

    Check the date on today’s calendar—it is 2 years ago today.

    Two years is a random number. It has been two years, and still the plane is just as lost. The people are just as missing. The families are still reeling. We cry out for justice and compassion for the families of who lost loved ones aboard MH370. For the sake of the families, we hope the calendar will not kill the search.

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